Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 416.322454 472.610673 534.931420 609.259692 695.768602 793.601226 913.072552
2026-01-11 332.340116 406.336407 495.618083 612.138209 761.450387 948.056483 1201.582735
2026-01-18 279.061867 358.015382 458.796050 598.487106 789.640265 1045.786679 1421.369198
2026-01-25 242.096347 322.596835 430.049710 586.393996 812.141507 1132.695735 1634.094861
2026-02-01 222.742136 306.994492 424.048179 602.021923 871.997793 1276.625305 1949.494385
2026-02-08 202.384298 286.990020 408.593607 600.594022 904.584780 1382.331845 2221.415600
2026-02-15 184.309723 267.973673 391.879955 594.202822 927.116857 1473.412172 2482.528850
2026-02-22 171.600608 255.426917 383.135386 598.451635 966.117058 1595.307490 2816.757826
2026-03-01 157.578083 239.374864 367.093919 588.556260 979.307074 1673.549246 3083.217529
2026-03-08 146.473094 226.822047 355.239887 583.962384 1000.450751 1767.873339 3396.510650
2026-03-15 133.308685 209.774518 334.396652 561.432169 986.070959 1793.312612 3573.255171
2026-03-22 128.871179 206.688860 336.498270 579.477415 1048.873535 1975.764081 4118.119008
2026-03-29 125.272319 204.852739 340.798910 602.468554 1125.245609 2199.535912 4810.049800
2026-04-05 118.680945 197.318685 334.424024 604.764568 1160.894160 2344.465375 5351.495544
2026-04-12 110.470383 186.261914 320.712950 591.331879 1162.202951 2414.583748 5722.983704
2026-04-19 103.260969 176.446157 308.437333 579.403695 1165.048201 2488.332101 6120.601265
2026-04-26 100.238759 174.003993 309.671788 594.816419 1229.303935 2715.043046 6988.844864
2026-05-03 95.378819 167.777562 303.149471 593.408220 1255.529389 2854.366796 7645.050240
2026-05-10 90.351349 160.871519 294.741516 587.105137 1269.562983 2965.460561 8246.301946
2026-05-17 86.882062 156.692260 291.361097 591.295387 1308.946116 3148.478957 9122.555858
2026-05-24 82.205245 149.849487 282.101314 581.536304 1313.079047 3238.261593 9720.082565
2026-05-31 78.402583 144.479321 275.445090 577.005583 1329.720891 3365.445729 10483.061976
2026-06-07 73.171788 135.943679 261.644405 554.783992 1298.479746 3352.122795 10743.882970